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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 20 June 2026 by the UK Bullet weather desk. Data from national met services via Open-Meteo.
Hurricane Erin will not hit the UK directly; it is expected to weaken into a post-tropical storm over the North Atlantic, with only peripheral rain and gusty winds likely to affect western areas later this week.
What is the current forecast for Hurricane Erin?
As of the latest Met Office outlook, Hurricane Erin is tracking northeast across the Atlantic and will transition into an extratropical system before reaching British shores. The storm’s core will remain well west of Ireland, meaning the UK avoids a direct hit. However, remnants could bring a spell of wet and windy weather to parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland by Friday.
- Erin is currently a Category 1 hurricane but will weaken rapidly as it moves into cooler waters.
- The system is forecast to pass to the west of Ireland by Thursday night.
- Western Scotland and Northern Ireland may see gusts of 40–50 mph and heavy rain on Friday.
- England and Wales should expect only a breezy, unsettled day with no severe impacts.
Could Hurricane Erin still strengthen before reaching the UK?
No. The North Atlantic is too cool to sustain hurricane intensity, and wind shear will tear the system apart. Even if it briefly re-intensifies as a powerful extratropical low, it will not be classified as a hurricane when it nears the UK. There is no threat of a hurricane coming to the UK from this system.
Will Hurricane Erin cause flooding in the UK?
Localised surface water flooding is possible in western Scotland and Northern Ireland, where 20–40 mm of rain may fall in a few hours. Widespread or severe flooding is not expected.
Is Hurricane Erin related to Storm Amy or Storm Floris?
No. Hurricane Erin is a separate tropical system. Storm Amy and Storm Floris were named by the Met Office earlier in the season and are unrelated to this Atlantic hurricane.
Should I cancel travel plans due to Hurricane Erin?
No. For most of the UK, conditions will be no worse than a typical autumn low-pressure system. If you are travelling to western Scotland or Northern Ireland on Friday, check ferry and flight updates for potential minor delays.
Sources
For the latest conditions, check our UK weather hub and the 10 day weather forecast UK. If you are in a warning area, see Moderate Rainfall Warning details.